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Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on
Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on
Cotton Price and Exports Cotton in the South Cotton Trends and
Cotton Price and Exports Cotton in the South Cotton Trends and
Cotton Price A Index (Monthly)
Cotton Price A Index (Monthly)
World Cotton Production and Mill Use
World Cotton Production and Mill Use
World Cotton Imports
World Cotton Imports
World Cotton Exports
World Cotton Exports
Cotton China
Cotton China
Cotton Mexico
Cotton Mexico
- Changes in US cotton production - India cotton export restrictions -
- Changes in US cotton production - India cotton export restrictions -
US Cotton Production by Region
US Cotton Production by Region
US Cotton Forecast
US Cotton Forecast
US Sorghum (Prices) 2006-2010
US Sorghum (Prices) 2006-2010
US Sorghum Production and Exports
US Sorghum Production and Exports
World Sorghum Exports 2006-2010
World Sorghum Exports 2006-2010
World Sorghum Imports 2006-2010
World Sorghum Imports 2006-2010
US Sorghum by Region
US Sorghum by Region
Southern Sorghum Production by States (200-2010)
Southern Sorghum Production by States (200-2010)
US Sorghum Production by State (South)
US Sorghum Production by State (South)
Factors Affecting Sorghum Export Markets
Factors Affecting Sorghum Export Markets
Final Remarks
Final Remarks
THANK YOU
THANK YOU

Презентация: «Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on the South». Автор: bxu. Файл: «Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on the South.ppt». Размер zip-архива: 1409 КБ.

Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on the South

содержание презентации «Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on the South.ppt»
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1 Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on

Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton and Sorghum Exports and their Impact on

the South

Jaime Malaga, Ph.D. Center for North American Studies Texas Tech University - Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics

2 Cotton Price and Exports Cotton in the South Cotton Trends and

Cotton Price and Exports Cotton in the South Cotton Trends and

Expectations Sorghum Price and Exports Sorghum in the South Sorghum Trends and Expectations General Remarks

Outline

3 Cotton Price A Index (Monthly)

Cotton Price A Index (Monthly)

4 World Cotton Production and Mill Use

World Cotton Production and Mill Use

Source: CERI

5 World Cotton Imports

World Cotton Imports

2010-11

2000-01

6 World Cotton Exports

World Cotton Exports

2010-11

2000-01

7 Cotton China

Cotton China

Source: CERI

8 Cotton Mexico

Cotton Mexico

Source: CERI

9 - Changes in US cotton production - India cotton export restrictions -

- Changes in US cotton production - India cotton export restrictions -

Pakistan flooding - China Textile Industry Quick recovery - Exchange rates - Depletion of cotton stocks - Inflation in China

Factors Affecting Cotton Markets

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

10 US Cotton Production by Region

US Cotton Production by Region

Other

Southwest (TX)

Mid-South (MS, AR, LA, TN)

Southeast (GA, NC, AL)

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

11 US Cotton Forecast

US Cotton Forecast

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

12 US Sorghum (Prices) 2006-2010

US Sorghum (Prices) 2006-2010

Sorghum Price Gulf Port LA

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

13 US Sorghum Production and Exports

US Sorghum Production and Exports

14 World Sorghum Exports 2006-2010

World Sorghum Exports 2006-2010

75%

US

65%

Argentina

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

15 World Sorghum Imports 2006-2010

World Sorghum Imports 2006-2010

E.U.

Mexico 41%

Japan

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

16 US Sorghum by Region

US Sorghum by Region

Total US

Southern States

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

17 Southern Sorghum Production by States (200-2010)

Southern Sorghum Production by States (200-2010)

18 US Sorghum Production by State (South)

US Sorghum Production by State (South)

Table 1 Description of the Variables Used in the Analyses

19 Factors Affecting Sorghum Export Markets

Factors Affecting Sorghum Export Markets

US total production and exports declining (long term) Ethanol use increasing Most of US exports going to Mexico (Chicken industry) Some unexpected demand (EU) may affect flows and prices Growing competition from Argentina and Australia Potential new markets in Sub Saharan Africa and LA (Colombia, Chile, Ecuador)

20 Final Remarks

Final Remarks

Cotton -Record high prices will go down and stabilize next year -US exports 75% of its cotton and exports will continue to grow -Southern States account for 90% of US exports -Relative prices of other commodities will be key variables. -Factors to watch: China mill use, Exchange rates, Energy prices, Indian, Australian and Brazilian exports, WTO Doha round? Sorghum -Erratic prices will tend to stabilize and decline -US exports 40% of its sorghum but exports may decrease -Southern States (mainly TX) account for 40-45% of US production -Factors to watch: Mexican chicken industry, competition from Argentina and Australia, New emerging markets, ethanol industry demand.

21 THANK YOU

THANK YOU

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