Презентация на тему «State of the industry»

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October 2015

Note on DSA Research

The data and insights in this report and other DSA research efforts are not possible without the active participation in industry research by DSA member companies. If your company does not participate in all DSA industry research by submitting surveys and questionnaires when called upon, please do so! If you already do, we very much appreciate your support! Member participation in research allows DSA to generate robust data that helps educate the public and allows DSA to advocate on behalf of the industry. Furthermore, as an immediate and direct benefit to your participation, your company receives the full research report at no cost as soon as it’s published. This gives you access to actionable data and insights that can help your company grow and a competitive advantage over those who don’t have it!

Note: All research data is submitted confidentially and reported only in the aggregate. DSA engages third-party research vendors to ensure the confidentially of sensitive data.

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Industry Research Committee

DSA Joseph Mariano PRESIDENT Ben Gamse MARKET RESEARCH MANAGER Third Party Vendors

Committee Members Pammie Strickland (Chair) AMBIT ENERGY Jeff Morris (Past Chair) THE PAMPERED CHEF Yani Aguayo STEMTECH INTERNATIONAL, INC. Laura Chacon-Garbato HERBALIFE Damien Douchet H2O AT HOME Daniela Farmache Simkins AMWAY Staci Glovsky NATURE’S SUNSHINE PRODUCTS INC. Omobola Imoisili TEAM BEACHBODY Judy Jones AMWAY Jeff Kaufman ISAGENIX INTERNATIONAL Hellen Liu RODAN + FIELDS JJ LeBlanc MARY KAY INC. Randi Neiner SHAKLEE CORPORATION Jesse Stamm TAKE SHAPE FOR LIFE, INC. – MEDIFAST Emily Trainor LULU AVENUE Monica Wood HERBALIFE

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Executive Summary

U.S. sales and seller figures are both at record highs

U.S. retail sales through the direct selling channel reached U.S.$34.5 billion in 2014, an increase of 5.5% over 2013. In the U.S., the categories of Wellness Products and of Services experienced increases in 2014, Personal Care reversed its recent decline with a slight increase in share, while Home and Family Care/Home Durables and Clothing and Accessories continued to experience decreasing shares. One-half of DSA’s largest 20 direct selling companies grew in 2014. The number of people involved in direct selling reached a new high in 2014 at 18.2 million, which means approximately 14.9% of U.S. households have a member of the household involved in direct selling. The DSA expects continued annual growth for the industry of 3% to 5% for the next three years, similar to the last three years. The World Federation of Direct Selling Associations (WFDSA) reports global sales of $182.8 billion, an increase of 6.4% in constant U.S. dollars.

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Growth

Industry Outlook and Economic Context

5

This U.S. market increase of 5.5% in 2014 continued an upward trend

that began after 2009 resulting in an industry record high

4.89% CAGR

U.S. Estimated Retail Sales

Globally, the industry is also growing strongly. Global direct retail sales estimated at $182.8 billion – up 6.4% 2011-2014 CAGR = 6.5%

% Change:

-4.3%

0.8%

4.6%

5.9%

3.3%

5.5%

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report, 2015 WFDSA Global Direct Selling Statistics

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Growth is occurring in the industry across almost all levels of

company size and tenure

Sales of...

p9.8%

q3.5%

p8.3%

p50.4%

50% of DSA’s top 20 largest direct selling companies experienced growth in 2014. Companies predominantly selling through person-to-person methods experienced stronger growth in 2014 than those who sell through parties, groups or classes. Among newer firms, founded in 2000 or after, 72% experienced sales growth in 2014, versus 39% of those with more tenure. The smallest direct selling companies had growth of more than 50% in annual retail sales over 2013. Although, it’s important to note that these firms are growing from a smaller base than more established firms.

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report

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2014 marked a return to estimated direct retail sales growth exceeding

the U.S. economic growth

Estimated Direct Retail Sales and GDP ($U.S. billions)

4.89% U.S. Direct Selling Industry CAGR 3.93% U.S. GDP CAGR

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report

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In the U.S., direct sellers offer a diverse set of products and

services

Percentage point change compared to 2013

q

p

Share of Direct Selling Industry Retail Sales in 2014

Leisure & educational p 0.5%

Clothing & accessories q0.5%

Wellness p 1.6%

Personal care p 0.3%

Services and other p 0.2%

Home & family care/ home durables q 2.1%

Electronically connected health and wellness personal product market will reach $8 billion by 2018

Energy deregulation strongly contributing to services growth

Note: Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report; Consumer Electronics Association report of Technology Trends to Watch 2015.

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5.5% growth for 2014

3-5% growth expected annually for the next three years

DSA forecasts growth in the channel over the next three years with U.S. sales to reach approximately $39 billion in 2017

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report

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The number of direct sales representatives reached a new high in 2014

3 in 4

14.9% of U.S. households have a direct sales representative

1 in 2

Number of People Involved in Direct Selling (in millions)

The salesforce is diverse across age groups (including Millennials) Most independent sales representatives are female About three-quarters are married About half have children under 18 at home

2008

2012

46.3 AVERAGE AGE

Females

86.4%

74.2%

q

Males

13.6%

25.8%

p

Note: Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding

Source: 2015 Growth & Outlook Report, 2014 National Salesforce Study

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People involved in direct selling are widely dispersed across every

state in the U.S.

California, Texas and Florida lead in the U.S.

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Strengths of the Industry

Motivating Direct Sellers

13

54%

48%

57%

With current representatives, motivations are diverse – both tangible and emotional

Top Motivations to BECOME a Direct Seller:

Entrepreneurial Motivations

Lifestyle Motivations

Product

Long-term supplemental income

It gives me flexibility

I get the products at a discount

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

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62%

65%

62%

All their motivations become stronger as reasons to continue as a direct seller

48%

54%

57%

Top Motivations to BECOME a Direct Seller vs. CONTINUE as a Direct Seller:

Entrepreneurial Motivations

Lifestyle Motivations

Product

Long-term supplemental income

It gives me flexibility

I get the products at a discount

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

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Half

60%

Nearly 4 in 10

Opportunity is strong with product sales to end customers

…of direct sellers say that more than 80% of their customers are repeat customers

…of direct sellers have 11 or more customers that are not also direct sellers

...say they have five or more new potential customers who place an order in a typical month

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

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Two-thirds of representatives are satisfied with their return on

effort

63% Total Satisfied

Satisfaction with the Amount of Money Earned for Amount of Time Spent on Direct Selling Business

Nearly eight in ten say the amount of income compared to the amount of time invested was described accurately and fairly by the company

Very

Somewhat

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

17

Eight in ten representatives describe the experience of direct selling

positively

Experience in Direct Selling

Gen Y are more likely to: Say the experience in direct selling has exceeded their expectations Enjoy the flexibility and the short term supplemental income

82%

18%

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey

18

Consumer View of Direct Selling

19

56%

Entrepreneurship and business dynamism are drivers of economic growth

Reasons 1. Independence from an employer and being one’s own boss (65%) 2. Chance for self-fulfillment and the realization of their own ideas (62%)

of U.S. respondents to a global study conducted by a direct selling company have a positive attitude towards entrepreneurship

Source: Amway Global Entrepreneurship Report 2013, GfK Roper

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Favorability of the direct selling industry has improved

Favorability toward Direct Selling

18%

30%

24%

23%

Very Unfavorable

Very Favorable

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Source: Consumers’ Perceptions of the Direct Selling Industry 2012 National Survey Results

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There is opportunity to move the large neutral group

18%

52%

30%

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Source: Consumers’ Perceptions of the Direct Selling Industry 2012 National Survey Results

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Consumers see direct selling as a way to support local entrepreneurs

and receive knowledgeable personal service

Most Appealing and Important Characteristics of Direct Selling to a Potential Shopper

Source: Consumers’ Perceptions of the Direct Selling Industry 2012 National Survey Results

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Positive Impacts

The Internet and Direct Selling

24

Technology continues to be an opportunity for our industry

Top 15 US Retailers Worldwide Digital Sales (in billions) Amazon $67.9 Apple $18.3 Staples $10.4 Wal-Mart $10.0 Sears $ 4.9 QVC $ 4.8 Netflix $ 4.4 Macy’s $ 4.2

Ecommerce is expected to grow 10% CAGR from 2014 to reach $480 billion by 2019.

Convenience 42% order online from direct sellers

Consumers

U.S. Direct Selling Strategic Insights

Source: Direct Selling News commissioned Harris Poll; Internet Retailer “2014 Top 500 Guide” as cited by Wall Street Journal; Forrester

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Social media is effective for selling, retaining customers and

recruiting

Sell 37%

Retain Customers 43%

Recruit 35%

Percent who say Social Media is effective as a way to...

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey Social Media – Top 2 Box Effectiveness (Rated 4 or 5 on a 1 to 5 scale where 5 means “very effective”)

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Relationships are still key in direct selling

35%

49%

79%

Social Media such as Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, etc.

Home Parties

In Person

Representatives’ ratings of EFFECTIVENESS of how and where they recruit demonstrate the power of personal relationships

Source: 2014 National Sales Force Survey Social Media – Top 2 Box Effectiveness (Rated 4 or 5 on a 1 to 5 scale where 5 means “very effective”)

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Strategic Insights

The current climate for Direct Selling is excellent Overall Economic Strength The US economy is strong overall The Congressional Budget Office forecasts GDP will grow: 4.2% in 2015, 4.6% in 2016 and 4.5% in 2017 Three-year US direct selling industry CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) from 2011-2014 is 4.9% -- higher than US GDP growth of during this period (3.9%) by one percentage point

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Strategic Insights

Focus on the competitive difference our model brings Industry Strengths U.S. sales and seller figures are at record highs With our knowledge of consumers, message in terms that resonate to grow product and services sales Supporting a local small business person and continue to communicate other positive impacts of direct selling Convenience with personalization and high service level Knowledgeable sales people

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Strategic Insights

Threats Consumer expectations for convenience and ease via technology are increasing (for example Amazon.com) The misunderstanding of the model among financial and regulatory sectors impacts the industry’s image overall

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Strategic Insights

Opportunities The business opportunity continues to offer additional income to many with flexibility to balance home and work life Leverage the opportunity at an individual level to meet direct selling representatives’ motivations/needs Approach consumers to purchase especially where loyalty is high and continue to build loyal consumers among Gen Y Work to maintain relevancy with innovation in technology, access, tools, relationship building - look to the new, growing direct sellers for leadership on this Evolve and enhance our image with the young and those less aware of our model

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360 Degree Strategic Research Plan

National Salesforce Study

Growth & Outlook Survey

Sales Strategy Survey

Global Annual Statistics Survey

Consumer Attitudes & Perceptions

Contact: Ben Gamse Market Research Manager bgamse@dsa.org 202-452-8866

Socio-Economic Impact Study 2016

Quarterly DataTracker REVAMPED

Members’ Needs Survey Q1 2015

State of the Industry Report

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Reports

Direct Selling Industry 2013 Sales Strategy Study The survey was conducted online in 2013. All DSA member companies were given the opportunity to participate, and 61 companies completed the survey. The questionnaire averaged about 25 minutes in length. Note: Due to the wide range of sizes of DSA member companies and the sales strategies they employ, there are considerable variations in responses to questions. We often report both mean (the average of all responses) and median (the middle value) to describe the data. The 61 member companies that participated in the study are a good cross-section of the DSA member companies, however, the data is representative only of these companies and cannot be generalized to the industry as a whole.

Consumers’ Perceptions of the Direct Selling Industry 2012 National Survey Results The survey was conducted online in 2012 and 2008 and was national in scope. It is designed to over-represent females because a large proportion of buyers in the direct selling industry are female. The survey is representative of the national online population, which is similar but not identical to the full national population. The age and race/ethnicity distribution of the population in this study mirrors the U.S. population of adults. The questionnaire averaged about 15 minutes in length.

Direct Selling 2014 National Salesforce Study This is a sizable study with over 20,000 direct seller respondents from 61 DSA member companies. Survey data was collected between March 13 - October 11, 2013. The scale and breadth of respondents from different companies provide a robust sample. The data was weighted based on company size and method of survey distribution. As with any satisfaction survey, it is those most satisfied who generally take the time to respond. And, those least satisfied are eager to give feedback.

2015 Growth and Outlook Report: U.S. Direct Selling in 2014 The annual Growth & Outlook Survey is the primary resource for creating a comprehensive review of the status of 2014 direct selling in the U.S. The questionnaire for this year’s survey was distributed via email by the USDSA to direct selling companies on January 14, 2015, with a due date of March 13, 2015. Every effort is made to encompass the entire direct sales industry including non-members and the many small and start-up companies. Out of 180 DSA member companies and 61 companies in the pending process, 108 firms participated in the survey this year, including 40 (80%) of the 50 largest members.

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Definitions

Direct Retail Sales – the dollar amount paid by the ultimate consumers of the products and services. Estimated Retail Sales are direct selling company revenues plus an estimated retail margin. Direct Seller – an individual eligible to order products/services during the year; people involved in direct selling may be called direct sellers, distributors, representatives, consultants or various other titles, and may participate in various ways, including selling the products themselves or through their sales organizations, providing training and leadership to their sales organizations, referring customers to the company and purchasing products and services for personal use. Compensation is ultimately based on sales and may be earned based on personal sales and/or the sales of others in their sales organizations. These individuals are independent contractors. Direct Selling - a business model that offers entrepreneurial opportunities to individuals as independent contractors to market and/or sell products and services, typically outside of a fixed retail establishment, through one-to-one selling, in-home product demonstrations or online. Employee – a person who is corporately hired to provide services to a direct selling company on a regular basis in exchange for compensation. (Does not include independent direct sellers as defined above). Party Plan Sales Strategy – the sale of a product or service in a group or class setting and away from a fixed location, often in the home of a host or hostess. Person-to-Person Sales Strategy – a one-to-one sales interaction generally involving a salesperson and one customer, away from a fixed retail location, often in the home of the customer or in a mutually agreeable location.

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DSA Code of Ethics

The cornerstone of the Direct Selling Association's (DSA) commitment to ethical business practices and consumer service is its Code of Ethics. Every member company pledges to abide by the code's standards and procedures as a condition of admission and continuing membership in DSA. The DSA Code of Ethics speaks to both the consumer and the seller. It ensures that member companies will make no statements or promises that might mislead either consumers or prospective salespeople. Pyramid schemes are illegal and companies operating pyramids are not permitted to be members of the DSA. The DSA Code of Ethics is enforced by an independent code administrator who is not connected with any member company. The code administrator will do everything possible to resolve any complaints to the satisfaction of everyone involved, and has the power to decide on remedies. All member companies have agreed to honor the administrator's decisions.

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